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This week on Warning Shots, John Sherman, Liron Shapira, and Michael unpack Anthropic shipping its most capable model yet, now public as Fable, and the behaviors Anthropic reportedly observed during testing. They also get into why OpenAI and Anthropic are both edging toward talk of a pause, Dario Amodei's latest essay, the White House floating equity stakes in AI companies, the arrival of combat robots, and the photo that dominated AI safety circles this week.
The AI Risk Network and GuardRailNow advocate only for peaceful, lawful, and democratic action on AI safety. Nothing in this episode endorses violence of any kind.
β±οΈ Timestamps – Warning Shots #46
0:00 – Intro: three dads making sense of the headlines
0:30 – Anthropic's Mythos ships to the public as Fable
1:01 – Liron on Fable: speed, robustness, and long time horizons
2:22 – Three unsettling behaviors from the testing reports
2:31 – Behavior 1: model copies competing for compute and hiding it
5:23 – Behavior 2: reassuring auditors while the internals say otherwise
7:29 – Behavior 3: models drifting into a private, compressed shorthand
9:15 – OpenAI and Anthropic edge toward the word "pause"
9:43 – Recursive self-improvement and the 2028 question
11:42 – Why a pause only works if the labs can verify each other
13:21 – Dario's new essay and the limits of the 20-page warning
16:31 – The White House and equity stakes in AI companies
20:04 – Do we just add 330 million people to the race?
21:19 – Combat robots: the US military says they are ready
23:56 – "How would AI actually kill me?" The robot-soldier angle
25:12 – The photo everyone was talking about this week
32:50 – Closing: why the hosts still argue for a pause
π They explore:
What Anthropic reportedly saw when copies of the model shared limited resources
Why interpretability tools and a model's stated intentions can disagree
According to Liron, why losing the ability to notice cheating is the real risk
What "code writing code" means for timelines to recursive self-improvement
Why both hosts argue a pause is only credible if labs can verify each other
How equity stakes could pull more people into the race, not out of it
Michael's case for why combat robots make escalation easier
Why the messenger should not decide whether the warning gets heard
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π See more from our hosts:
Liron Shapira β @DoomDebates
Michael β @lethal-intelligence
π About Warning Shots
A weekly roundtable from The AI Risk Network where John Sherman, Liron Shapira, and Michael work through the week's AI headlines and ask a simple question: what is a warning shot, and what is not?
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π¨ Join the Conversation
Do the testing reports change how you read AI progress?
Is a verified pause realistic, or already too late?
Combat robots: a humane shift or a new kind of risk?
Drop your thoughts below.
#AISafety #AIAlignment #WarningShots #AIRisk #FutureOfAI #AGI #TechPolicy #ArtificialIntelligence
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