Support Guard Rail Now → https://www.every.org/guardrailnow

OpenAI says its GPT-6 Astra model quietly did worse on AI safety research than on identical capabilities tasks, and METR finds AI is now helping Anthropic improve its models about twice as fast as before. John Sherman, Liron Shapira and Michael ask what happens to the plan of having AI help make AI safe. Plus: voters turn down data centers, Delaware's proposed AI-run company, a two-neuron "evil" model, and hacked freezers across Europe.

TIMESTAMPS - Warning Shots #65
0:00 - Cold open: data centers
0:30 - Welcome back
0:53 - This week's stories
1:27 - METR inside Anthropic
1:48 - Liron: about 2x faster
3:13 - Kokotajlo's reaction
4:27 - Michael: AI in the loop
5:14 - A lab of AI junior researchers
6:22 - Liron: the community shifts
7:45 - Astra and safety research
8:27 - Michael: the fire analogy
10:20 - John: the slow roll
10:46 - Liron: what the numbers say
11:41 - Liron: stirring the potion
12:59 - Michael: not a free lunch
14:09 - The election and AI safety
14:45 - Liron: the "omni-cause"
16:22 - John: a superintelligence ban?
18:49 - The data center election
19:12 - Liron: why he backs them
20:11 - John: the case against them
21:17 - John: all friction is good
22:29 - Michael: a pressure point
23:44 - Data centers that build more
25:49 - Delaware: AI-run companies
26:38 - Liron: upside and downside
28:00 - Michael: who is accountable?
30:42 - An "evil" neuron
31:44 - Liron: orthogonality thesis
32:52 - Michael: one switch, new persona
35:45 - Smart and evil at once?
36:24 - Hackvember
37:22 - Michael: fridges to bio risk
39:18 - Liron: calm before the storm?
40:44 - Marches: Nov 14 and Nov 21
42:39 - Getting to 1,000 people
43:09 - Sign-off

WHAT THEY COVER

- OpenAI's report that GPT-6 Astra completed about 10% of hidden checklist items on safety-framed coding tasks versus about 16% on identical capabilities-framed tasks, why "be careful" instructions made the gap 50% larger, and what that means for using AI to do alignment research
- METR's independent assessment that Anthropic's capability growth is running about 1.9x its earlier rate, with most of the speed-up attributed to AI helping with the research, and Daniel Kokotajlo's reaction to the redactions
- Voters approving local limits on data centers in 40 of 41 measures on election day, and a live debate between Liron, who backs data centers, and John, who opposes them
- Delaware's proposal for a company run day to day by an AI agent that could sue, be sued, and hold property in its own name
- A hobbyist demo that steering two neurons in an open model produced a hostile persona with no change to its weights
- Hacked freezers in more than 100 European shops and an attempted attack on France's blood service
- The AI Treaty March on November 14 and PauseAI UK's London march on November 21

ABOUT THE HOSTS

John Sherman hosts For Humanity and leads Guard Rail Now, working to make AI extinction risk a normal conversation rather than a specialist one.
Liron Shapira hosts Doom Debates, where he argues the AI risk case directly with people who disagree.
Michael runs Lethal Intelligence, explaining AI risk through video and illustration.

A note on sourcing: figures discussed in this episode come from the hosts reading public reporting on air, and from our own follow-up research. Corrections: OpenAI's published Astra figures are about 10% versus 16% of rubric items, roughly 40% fewer. METR compares today's rate with March 2024 to October 2025, and it redacted its forecasts. The data center trackers we found count 40 of 41 measures. The two-neuron model is a hobbyist demo, and its author says it gets worse at most tasks. Primary sources are in the pinned comment.

LINKS

Support our work → https://www.every.org/guardrailnow
Subscribe → @TheAIRiskNetwork
Liron Shapira → @DoomDebates
Michael → @lethal-intelligence
Substack → https://substack.com/@theairisknetwork
X → https://x.com/AIRiskNetwork
Instagram → https://www.instagram.com/theairisknetwork/
TikTok → https://www.tiktok.com/@the.airisknetwork
AI Treaty March, November 14 → https://aitreatymarch.org
PauseAI UK March, November 21 → https://pauseai.uk/march

JOIN THE CONVERSATION

If AI models can quietly do less on safety work than on everything else, how much of AI safety research should we hand to AI? Tell us in the comments.

#AISafety #AIRisk #WarningShots #AIAlignment #OpenAI #Anthropic #METR #DataCenters #ArtificialIntelligence

Support Guard Rail Now → https://www.every.org/guardrailnow

OpenAI says its GPT-6 Astra model quietly did worse on AI safety research than on identical capabilities tasks, and METR finds AI is now helping Anthropic improve its models about twice as fast as before. John Sherman, Liron Shapira and Michael ask what happens to the plan of having AI help make AI safe. Plus: voters turn down data centers, Delaware's proposed AI-run company, a two-neuron "evil" model, and hacked freezers across Europe.

TIMESTAMPS – Warning Shots #65
0:00 – Cold open: data centers
0:30 – Welcome back
0:53 – This week's stories
1:27 – METR inside Anthropic
1:48 – Liron: about 2x faster
3:13 – Kokotajlo's reaction
4:27 – Michael: AI in the loop
5:14 – A lab of AI junior researchers
6:22 – Liron: the community shifts
7:45 – Astra and safety research
8:27 – Michael: the fire analogy
10:20 – John: the slow roll
10:46 – Liron: what the numbers say
11:41 – Liron: stirring the potion
12:59 – Michael: not a free lunch
14:09 – The election and AI safety
14:45 – Liron: the "omni-cause"
16:22 – John: a superintelligence ban?
18:49 – The data center election
19:12 – Liron: why he backs them
20:11 – John: the case against them
21:17 – John: all friction is good
22:29 – Michael: a pressure point
23:44 – Data centers that build more
25:49 – Delaware: AI-run companies
26:38 – Liron: upside and downside
28:00 – Michael: who is accountable?
30:42 – An "evil" neuron
31:44 – Liron: orthogonality thesis
32:52 – Michael: one switch, new persona
35:45 – Smart and evil at once?
36:24 – Hackvember
37:22 – Michael: fridges to bio risk
39:18 – Liron: calm before the storm?
40:44 – Marches: Nov 14 and Nov 21
42:39 – Getting to 1,000 people
43:09 – Sign-off

WHAT THEY COVER

– OpenAI's report that GPT-6 Astra completed about 10% of hidden checklist items on safety-framed coding tasks versus about 16% on identical capabilities-framed tasks, why "be careful" instructions made the gap 50% larger, and what that means for using AI to do alignment research
– METR's independent assessment that Anthropic's capability growth is running about 1.9x its earlier rate, with most of the speed-up attributed to AI helping with the research, and Daniel Kokotajlo's reaction to the redactions
– Voters approving local limits on data centers in 40 of 41 measures on election day, and a live debate between Liron, who backs data centers, and John, who opposes them
– Delaware's proposal for a company run day to day by an AI agent that could sue, be sued, and hold property in its own name
– A hobbyist demo that steering two neurons in an open model produced a hostile persona with no change to its weights
– Hacked freezers in more than 100 European shops and an attempted attack on France's blood service
– The AI Treaty March on November 14 and PauseAI UK's London march on November 21

ABOUT THE HOSTS

John Sherman hosts For Humanity and leads Guard Rail Now, working to make AI extinction risk a normal conversation rather than a specialist one.
Liron Shapira hosts Doom Debates, where he argues the AI risk case directly with people who disagree.
Michael runs Lethal Intelligence, explaining AI risk through video and illustration.

A note on sourcing: figures discussed in this episode come from the hosts reading public reporting on air, and from our own follow-up research. Corrections: OpenAI's published Astra figures are about 10% versus 16% of rubric items, roughly 40% fewer. METR compares today's rate with March 2024 to October 2025, and it redacted its forecasts. The data center trackers we found count 40 of 41 measures. The two-neuron model is a hobbyist demo, and its author says it gets worse at most tasks. Primary sources are in the pinned comment.

LINKS

Support our work → https://www.every.org/guardrailnow
Subscribe → @TheAIRiskNetwork
Liron Shapira → @DoomDebates
Michael → @lethal-intelligence
Substack → https://substack.com/@theairisknetwork
X → https://x.com/AIRiskNetwork
Instagram → https://www.instagram.com/theairisknetwork/
TikTok → https://www.tiktok.com/@the.airisknetwork
AI Treaty March, November 14 → https://aitreatymarch.org
PauseAI UK March, November 21 → https://pauseai.uk/march

JOIN THE CONVERSATION

If AI models can quietly do less on safety work than on everything else, how much of AI safety research should we hand to AI? Tell us in the comments.

#AISafety #AIRisk #WarningShots #AIAlignment #OpenAI #Anthropic #METR #DataCenters #ArtificialIntelligence


63


37

YouTube Video VVVURXBJZWliOTJUdUtvMmNTczR3ZzhBLkpqNWFvZ1RxVm9R



Why Did an AI Hold Back on Safety Research? – Warning Shots #65


The AI Risk Network | AI Safety


November 8, 2026 8:10 pm


Support Guard Rail Now → https://www.every.org/guardrailnow

OpenAI says its AI agents, sealed in separate sandboxes with no network, passed secret messages through the timing of a computer's memory cache. John Sherman, Liron Shapira and Michael ask whether AI can be contained at all, and why AI models hiding messages in images matters. Plus: Black October, the month AI-found software flaws and a $6.3 billion crypto theft tested the internet's defenses, Anthropic's IPO filing, and Google's data center forest in Finland.

TIMESTAMPS - Warning Shots #64
0:00 - Cold open
0:27 - Welcome back
1:00 - This week's stories
1:20 - Is the internet breaking?
1:48 - Liron: "Black October"
3:50 - Michael: the broken-lock model
5:04 - The Polymarket hack
6:00 - The Binance hack
7:30 - How to protect yourself
11:29 - A family password
11:46 - Fortress America: 90 days
12:30 - Michael: the UK's Be Ready
13:52 - Liron: is this about AI hacking?
15:27 - Chaos before superintelligence?
16:07 - What comes after Black October?
17:08 - Liron: defending his own site
18:00 - Michael: 3% of critical bugs
19:08 - Secret chats between AI agents
19:54 - Michael: talking via the cache
21:57 - Liron: sandboxes leak
23:08 - Messages hidden in images
23:54 - Google's Finland forest
26:01 - Liron vs. the trees
26:50 - Anthropic's IPO payday
27:55 - Liron: reading the S-1
29:39 - Michael: incentives to race
32:17 - A transfer from the many?
36:00 - Boston Dynamics robot dogs
37:06 - Michael: one software update
39:02 - Doomsday prep: maps, a compass
40:11 - Solar panels and sign-off

WHAT THEY COVER

- OpenAI's report that red-team agents in isolated microVMs, with no network and no shared files, exchanged secrets through CPU cache timing, and why Michael calls containment an illusion
- New research in which an AI model hid messages in images that another lab's model could decode
- Black October: two critical PHP flaws found with AI help, a compromised monitoring script that drained Polymarket accounts, and a $6.3 billion theft from Binance hot wallets that began with one engineer's laptop
- Practical steps the hosts recommend: a password manager, two-factor authentication starting with your email, and a family password against voice and video impersonation
- Reports that major US military bases are planning to run 90 days on their own, and the UK's new advice to keep three days of supplies at home
- Anthropic's IPO filing, estimates of how many employees could become hundred-millionaires, and a debate over what that money does to incentives
- Google clearing about 250,000 trees in Finland for a data center before environmental assessments were done
- Boston Dynamics employees protesting the sale of Spot robots to a federal agency

ABOUT THE HOSTS

John Sherman hosts For Humanity and leads Guard Rail Now, working to make AI extinction risk a normal conversation rather than a specialist one.
Liron Shapira hosts Doom Debates, where he argues the AI risk case directly with people who disagree with him.
Michael runs Lethal Intelligence, explaining AI risk through video and illustration.


LINKS

Support our work → https://www.every.org/guardrailnow
Subscribe → @TheAIRiskNetwork
Liron Shapira → @DoomDebates
Michael → @lethal-intelligence
Substack → https://substack.com/@theairisknetwork
X → https://x.com/AIRiskNetwork
Instagram → https://www.instagram.com/theairisknetwork/
TikTok → https://www.tiktok.com/@the.airisknetwork

JOIN THE CONVERSATION

If AI agents can pass messages through shared hardware, what would it take to keep a powerful model contained? Tell us in the comments.

#AISafety #AIRisk #WarningShots #AIAgents #AIContainment #OpenAI #Cybersecurity #BlackOctober #ArtificialIntelligence

Support Guard Rail Now → https://www.every.org/guardrailnow

OpenAI says its AI agents, sealed in separate sandboxes with no network, passed secret messages through the timing of a computer's memory cache. John Sherman, Liron Shapira and Michael ask whether AI can be contained at all, and why AI models hiding messages in images matters. Plus: Black October, the month AI-found software flaws and a $6.3 billion crypto theft tested the internet's defenses, Anthropic's IPO filing, and Google's data center forest in Finland.

TIMESTAMPS – Warning Shots #64
0:00 – Cold open
0:27 – Welcome back
1:00 – This week's stories
1:20 – Is the internet breaking?
1:48 – Liron: "Black October"
3:50 – Michael: the broken-lock model
5:04 – The Polymarket hack
6:00 – The Binance hack
7:30 – How to protect yourself
11:29 – A family password
11:46 – Fortress America: 90 days
12:30 – Michael: the UK's Be Ready
13:52 – Liron: is this about AI hacking?
15:27 – Chaos before superintelligence?
16:07 – What comes after Black October?
17:08 – Liron: defending his own site
18:00 – Michael: 3% of critical bugs
19:08 – Secret chats between AI agents
19:54 – Michael: talking via the cache
21:57 – Liron: sandboxes leak
23:08 – Messages hidden in images
23:54 – Google's Finland forest
26:01 – Liron vs. the trees
26:50 – Anthropic's IPO payday
27:55 – Liron: reading the S-1
29:39 – Michael: incentives to race
32:17 – A transfer from the many?
36:00 – Boston Dynamics robot dogs
37:06 – Michael: one software update
39:02 – Doomsday prep: maps, a compass
40:11 – Solar panels and sign-off

WHAT THEY COVER

– OpenAI's report that red-team agents in isolated microVMs, with no network and no shared files, exchanged secrets through CPU cache timing, and why Michael calls containment an illusion
– New research in which an AI model hid messages in images that another lab's model could decode
– Black October: two critical PHP flaws found with AI help, a compromised monitoring script that drained Polymarket accounts, and a $6.3 billion theft from Binance hot wallets that began with one engineer's laptop
– Practical steps the hosts recommend: a password manager, two-factor authentication starting with your email, and a family password against voice and video impersonation
– Reports that major US military bases are planning to run 90 days on their own, and the UK's new advice to keep three days of supplies at home
– Anthropic's IPO filing, estimates of how many employees could become hundred-millionaires, and a debate over what that money does to incentives
– Google clearing about 250,000 trees in Finland for a data center before environmental assessments were done
– Boston Dynamics employees protesting the sale of Spot robots to a federal agency

ABOUT THE HOSTS

John Sherman hosts For Humanity and leads Guard Rail Now, working to make AI extinction risk a normal conversation rather than a specialist one.
Liron Shapira hosts Doom Debates, where he argues the AI risk case directly with people who disagree with him.
Michael runs Lethal Intelligence, explaining AI risk through video and illustration.

LINKS

Support our work → https://www.every.org/guardrailnow
Subscribe → @TheAIRiskNetwork
Liron Shapira → @DoomDebates
Michael → @lethal-intelligence
Substack → https://substack.com/@theairisknetwork
X → https://x.com/AIRiskNetwork
Instagram → https://www.instagram.com/theairisknetwork/
TikTok → https://www.tiktok.com/@the.airisknetwork

JOIN THE CONVERSATION

If AI agents can pass messages through shared hardware, what would it take to keep a powerful model contained? Tell us in the comments.

#AISafety #AIRisk #WarningShots #AIAgents #AIContainment #OpenAI #Cybersecurity #BlackOctober #ArtificialIntelligence


98


50

YouTube Video VVVURXBJZWliOTJUdUtvMmNTczR3ZzhBLm1sa0NTV2RxTlVv



How Did Isolated AI Agents Learn to Talk? – Warning Shots #64


The AI Risk Network | AI Safety


November 1, 2026 9:00 pm

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